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Flagbearer race: Ken Agyapong tops NPP delegate preference poll – Researcher says

Former Assin Central lawmaker Kennedy Ohene Agyapong has emerged as the leading contender in the race for the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential nomination, according to a new nationwide survey of party delegates conducted by researcher Dr. Evans Duah.

The three-wave study, carried out between August 2025 and January 2026, tracked shifts in delegate preferences following the NPP’s defeat in the 2024 general election.

It covered all 16 regions and 276 constituencies, targeting 40,988 delegates, with 31,556 interviews completed and validated, the researcher said.

Details

Under the survey’s “best-case” scenario, which allocates undecided delegates proportionally, Agyapong secured 52.59% support nationwide. He was followed by former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia on 36.24%, with Dr. Bryan Acheampong at 8.60%.

Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum and Kwabena Agyei Agyapong trailed with 2.05% and 0.52% respectively.

Dr. Duah said the multi-wave approach was designed to capture gradual post-election realignments rather than immediate swings, noting that all data passed quality assurance checks.

Heavy regions

Results were analysed under both conservative and full-allocation scenarios to account for uncertainty among undecided delegates.

According to the findings, Agyapong recorded the strongest net gains across the survey period, driven by rising support in delegate-heavy regions including Ashanti, Greater Accra, Eastern, Central, Western and Volta.

The report attributed his momentum to what it described as sustained engagement and messaging focused on economic recovery and resilience after the 2024 loss.

Bawumia’s net decline

Bawumia, the NPP’s 2024 presidential candidate, saw a net decline in support, the study said, as backing weakened outside his traditional northern strongholds.

While he retained dominance in some aligned regions, the report suggested limited expansion into southern and middle-belt areas constrained his overall recovery.

Acheampong’s support fluctuated across the waves, with the study describing his role as one that “compressed margins” rather than mounting a direct challenge for the lead.

His backing was linked to organisational networks and contested regions, according to the report.

Adutwum and Kwabena Agyei Agyapong registered low levels of support, largely confined to isolated regional clusters or symbolic participation, the study found.

“This study documents a transition from fluid reassessment to structured consolidation,” Dr. Duah said, adding that Agyapong’s lead reflected early post-election judgements by delegates and strategic engagement in key regions.

Click to see details of the publication below:

Slides NPP Primaries Research Report 2026

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